Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2.411763 2.890219 3.426494 4.070283 4.820218 5.664218 6.683929
2025-11-30 1.679160 2.271465 3.007569 3.982180 5.230264 6.765715 8.787209
2025-12-07 1.194817 1.793300 2.605026 3.770680 5.382728 7.511619 10.509157
2025-12-14 0.928395 1.524206 2.394866 3.733235 5.705204 8.463475 12.561523
2025-12-21 0.745727 1.327297 2.235519 3.717588 6.024284 9.412954 14.681014
2025-12-28 0.657772 1.255349 2.243147 3.938508 6.700573 10.925721 17.741896
2026-01-04 0.567408 1.157919 2.188297 4.042730 7.195214 12.200732 20.553673
2026-01-11 0.504523 1.095076 2.177690 4.211506 7.802922 13.696869 23.829406
2026-01-18 0.430720 0.995250 2.082891 4.215330 8.124866 14.751662 26.478320
2026-01-25 0.353303 0.870921 1.920309 4.068899 8.159433 15.320091 28.359532
2026-02-01 0.289849 0.761757 1.767530 3.915398 8.155692 15.810419 30.133293
2026-02-08 0.250398 0.697624 1.694851 3.906281 8.414951 16.777729 32.801973
2026-02-15 0.216929 0.641307 1.631693 3.912246 8.712624 17.857114 35.791764
2026-02-22 0.185229 0.581926 1.551603 3.870839 8.910872 18.769464 38.554020
2026-03-01 0.149790 0.503257 1.412164 3.677300 8.771365 19.021066 40.097985
2026-03-08 0.128741 0.459247 1.348078 3.644485 8.965073 19.934886 42.969857
2026-03-15 0.111720 0.422538 1.295499 3.630316 9.195674 20.938271 46.087326
2026-03-22 0.106362 0.421116 1.335433 3.846970 9.965163 23.103412 51.665961
2026-03-29 0.097035 0.404194 1.330191 3.949138 10.481664 24.779463 56.368840
2026-04-05 0.090771 0.396167 1.348577 4.114457 11.162151 26.853460 62.025732
2026-04-12 0.080172 0.369528 1.308105 4.118213 11.455659 28.113647 66.070168
2026-04-19 0.067073 0.329205 1.218531 3.974813 11.372349 28.537343 68.370969
2026-04-26 0.055837 0.292230 1.131516 3.824498 11.252889 28.866267 70.484502